When one of the most influential stats analysts in the world tells you what’s going to happen in the months ahead, there’s little point covering your eyes and your ears.
Nate Silver knows a thing or two about what’s going to happen in sport, as well as American politics.
He may be most famous for perfectly predicting the outcomes of the 2008 and 2012 US Presidential elections but sports data modelling is where he seriously specialises.
Now he’s taken some time out to get to the bottom of the last two months of the Premier League season.
Silver’s sports modelling ‘crunches a torrent of numbers to produce a unique soccer performance index for each club’.
Sorry to say it Liverpool , Arsenal and Manchester United fans but he isn’t known for usually getting these things wrong.
His stat-filled website FiveThirtyEight has predicted who will win the title, finish in the top four and survive the drop into the Championship.
Manchester City fans will have a lot of love for the 41-year-old. He says they are set to finish top with 93 points, pipping second-placed Liverpool to the championship by just two points.
Silver says City have a 65 per cent chance of winning the Premier League title, with there currently being a 35 per cent chance of Jurgen Klopp’s men lifting the trophy.