World Cup 2018: How Teams Can Advance to the Round of 16

Group E

W L D GF GA +/- PTS
 Brazil 1 0 1 3 1 +2 4
 Switzerland 1 0 1 3 2 +1 4
 Serbia 1 1 0 2 2 0 3
 Costa Rica 0 2 0 0 3 -3 0

Brazil advances with a win or draw against Serbia. If it loses, it could still back in, but only if Switzerland also loses, and not by fewer goals. To win the group, Brazil needs to win by at least the same margin as Switzerland does.

Switzerland advances with a win or draw against Costa Rica. If it loses, it would still get in if Brazil beats Serbia. If Brazil and Serbia draw in that scenario, Switzerland might sneak in if it loses by only one goal.

Serbia would advance with a win over Brazil. If it draws, it is out, unless Costa Rica beats Switzerland, preferably by two goals or more. If it loses, it is out.

Costa Rica is out.

Group F

W L D GF GA +/- PTS
 Mexico 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
 Germany 1 1 0 2 2 0 3
 Sweden 1 1 0 2 2 0 3
 South Korea 0 2 0 1 3 -2 0

Mexico has very nearly clinched its advancement. It just needs a win or draw against Sweden. If it loses, it would still advance if Germany doesn’t beat South Korea, or if Germany wins but finishes with a smaller goal differential.

Germany probably advances with a win over South Korea, but could still be out even then if Sweden wins and the scores fall just right: if Germany wins 1-0 and Sweden wins 2-1, for example. Germany would also advance with a draw if Mexico beats Sweden. If both matches end in draws, it would come down to which team, Germany or Sweden, scored more goals in their final group games, with Germany winning if the scores are equal. Germany could even advance if it loses in some scoring scenarios, as long as Mexico wins.

Sweden would advance if it wins and Germany does not. If both win, it will come down to the goal difference between Germany, Sweden and Mexico. If Sweden draws, it must hope Germany loses or draws scoring fewer goals. If Sweden loses, it could back in only if it loses by one goal in a higher scoring game, like 3-2, and South Korea beats Germany narrowly.

South Korea must beat Germany, preferably by two goals or more, and have Mexico beat Sweden, probably by at least two goals. Tiebreakers will depend on the final score in both games.

Group G

W L D GF GA +/- PTS
 England 2 0 0 8 2 +6 6
 Belgium 2 0 0 8 2 +6 6
 Tunisia 0 2 0 3 7 -4 0
 Panama 0 2 0 1 9 -8 0

Belgium has advanced. It will win the group if it beats England.

England has advanced. It will win the group if it beats Belgium. If the teams draw, the group winner will be decided by the sixth tiebreaker:their disciplinary records. England currently has two yellow cards to Belgium’s three.

Tunisia is out.

Panama is out.

Group H

W L D GF GA +/- PTS
 Japan 1 0 1 4 3 +1 4
 Senegal 1 0 1 4 3 +1 4
 Colombia 1 1 0 4 2 +2 3
 Poland 0 2 0 1 5 -4 0

Japan advances with a win or draw against Poland. If it loses, it would still advance unless Colombia beats Senegal by a smaller margin, or Senegal and Colombia draw.

Senegal advances with a win or draw against Colombia. If it loses, it can get in if Japan loses to Poland by a larger margin.

Colombia advances with a win over Senegal. If it draws, it can continue if Japan loses.

Poland is out.

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