Why Uhuru might be a ‘mwananchi’ before 2022

Two activists have filed a constitutional petition seeking to declare that the next General Election should be held in August 2021 and not 2022.

Okiya Omtatah and Wycliffe Gisebe say that holding the elections in 2022 will be unconstitutional as the term of the current elected leaders will have exceed the “fifth” year term limit.

The two argue that the second Tuesday of August 2022 will fall in the sixth year after the 2017 elections, while the Constitution requires that the election be held the second Tuesday of August of the fifth year.

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“When five years are added to the year 2017 we get the year 2022. That math is flawed to the extent that it is a computation of the state of affairs after five years and not of in (or within) five years,” the petitioners say.

Five years after the 2017 elections runs from August 8 to August 7, 2022, and elections have to be held within that period. And since the second Tuesday in August 2022 will be in the sixth year after the 2017 general elections, Omtatah argues that the elections must be held the year before.

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“Holding the elections on either 9 or 16 August 2022 will allow the parliamentary term to exceed the five-year term limit by two days or nine days,” he says.

Omtatah says IEBC and AG must count the years correctly. “The General Election after 2017 should be on August 17, 2021. If they wait until August 2022, they will have moved into the sixth year and thereby violate article 101 ( 1 ) of the Supreme Law.”

Contrary to that, Article 101 ( 1 ) of the constitution provides for the election cycle of Members of Parliament in that “a general election of Members of Parliament shall be held on the second Tuesday in August in every fifth year.”

On the other hand, article 102 ( 1 ) of the Constitution provides for the term of Parliament. “The term of each House of Parliament expires on the date of the next general election,” the Constitution states.

Omtatah says the crystal clear objective of Article 101 ( 1 ) as read together with 102 ( 1 ) of the Constitution of Kenya is to ensure that the term of Parliament does not exceed five years.

Unfortunately, State organs responsible for the elections, politicians and the general population, he says, have misinterpreted Article 101( 1 ) to mean that elections have to be held after every five years, and so anticipate one in August 2022.

“By such provisions of the Supreme Law, a term of Parliament cannot exceed five years. Elections must be held within the fifth year, not a day earlier or later. The elections cannot be held after every five years since Parliament’s fixed term must expire in the fifth year,” he argues.

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In his documents, Omtatah says since the fifth electoral year runs from August 8, 2021, to August 7, 2022, there is no second Tuesday in August 2022 before the fifth year ends on August 7, 2022.

Hence, the country must fall back to the second Tuesday in August of the fifth electoral year which falls on August 17, 2021.

The calculations run against the general public belief that the next general elections after 2017 under the 2010 Constitution will be held on August 9, 2022, being the second Tuesday in August after the fifth year.

Omtatah wants the court to declare the date as a precaution against a potential constitutional crisis.

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“This state of affairs is likely to cause major upheavals and a constitutional crisis should it dawn on Kenyans at the eleventh hour that the elections should be held in August 2021 and not in August 2022,” he says.

The crisis could also include commitments entered into by elected leaders, including bank loans taken in the belief that the term will expire after five years.

DO YOU AGREE WITH OKIYA’S ARGUMENTS ON CHANGING ELECTION DATES?

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